Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.515402 2.909469 3.352969 3.890603 4.526745 5.257906 6.165451
2025-03-02 1.884408 2.386486 3.012068 3.855348 4.972306 6.414845 8.441281
2025-03-09 1.586875 2.133841 2.863253 3.920198 5.434266 7.558146 10.822179
2025-03-16 1.354134 1.908161 2.687535 3.883940 5.710026 8.451718 12.994436
2025-03-23 1.186337 1.739181 2.553032 3.865920 5.983591 9.359496 15.343109
2025-03-30 1.042056 1.580312 2.404278 3.792104 6.141984 10.093119 17.535104
2025-04-06 0.953741 1.493024 2.349507 3.852470 6.518581 11.239112 20.677152
2025-04-13 0.852016 1.370352 2.219909 3.764414 6.617568 11.904058 23.050497
2025-04-20 0.806772 1.334219 2.227316 3.911943 7.159332 13.473259 27.567292
2025-04-27 0.741683 1.256173 2.152055 3.896758 7.387363 14.468496 31.099487
2025-05-04 0.705555 1.224304 2.153769 4.024249 7.913393 16.160756 36.599601
2025-05-11 0.663429 1.176689 2.120439 4.077407 8.293028 17.608099 41.885731
2025-05-18 0.617257 1.123686 2.084113 4.148702 8.791196 19.578922 49.504490
2025-05-25 0.561655 1.047908 1.997484 4.110167 9.061249 21.143080 56.783718
2025-06-01 0.524353 1.002613 1.964404 4.179876 9.594990 23.491276 67.197352
2025-06-08 0.481656 0.941012 1.888982 4.140916 9.856174 25.204401 76.390710
2025-06-15 0.445737 0.888969 1.826671 4.121555 10.163269 27.129331 87.110292
2025-06-22 0.409288 0.831546 1.745125 4.042253 10.295983 28.595908 96.912867
2025-06-29 0.387178 0.802501 1.723127 4.107104 10.840073 31.460274 113.275616
2025-07-06 0.356582 0.751315 1.643952 4.012509 10.910074 32.859355 124.585539
2025-07-13 0.344766 0.741113 1.659590 4.171005 11.767807 37.128716 150.308633
2025-07-20 0.323634 0.707127 1.613751 4.154689 12.086287 39.645506 169.661449
2025-07-27 0.312621 0.695702 1.621986 4.291694 12.929799 44.358677 202.553587